Crusaders FC 0-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.78
6+ Goals
6%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.51
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
12%
14.45
X/1
12%
6.73
X/2
7%
4.38
X/X
15%
3.81
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
25%
3.01
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.11/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.02
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
21.01.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
04.11.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 4-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
02.09.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crusaders FC
0-2
AWAY Larne FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC beat Crusaders FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Larne FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Crusaders FC had 52% of the ball to Larne FC's 48%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.83 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Larne FC?

Crusaders FC 0-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 29%, draw 32%, Larne FC 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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