Ethnikos Achna 2-1 APOEL Nicosia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethnikos Achna The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY APOEL Nicosia The Market 50%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
223 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethnikos Achna
2-1
AWAY APOEL Nicosia
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Ethnikos Achna vs APOEL Nicosia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethnikos Achna edged past APOEL Nicosia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ethnikos Achna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethnikos Achna had 35% of the ball to APOEL Nicosia's 65%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Ethnikos Achna vs APOEL Nicosia?

Ethnikos Achna 2-1 APOEL Nicosia in the Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethnikos Achna vs APOEL Nicosia?

Before kick-off our model rated an APOEL Nicosia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethnikos Achna 31%, draw 31%, APOEL Nicosia 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APOEL Nicosia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APOEL Nicosia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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