Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -17%
2.21/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.35
+16% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0 Corners 8
10.09.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
02.03.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.06.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
17.02.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
05.12.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
02.12.2021 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos beat Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 0.83 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 57%, draw 24%, Dorados De Sinaloa 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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