Leixoes 0-2 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 12 Jan 2024

Leixoes
0-2 HT 0-0
UD Oliveirense
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Leixoes vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leixoes v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +0%
1.30/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.78
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.1 Crosses 15.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3

Leixoes vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
261 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 1-2 HT 1-2 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
19.11.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 2-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense PORLC
05.04.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
06.01.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
09.11.2019 Leixoes Leixoes 3-2 HT 1-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
22.03.2015 Leixoes Leixoes 4-1 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2

Leixoes 0-2 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
0-2
AWAY UD Oliveirense
1.12 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
314 Passes 257
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense saw off Leixoes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leixoes at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Leixoes had 54% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 46%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.12 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leixoes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leixoes and 1.50 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs UD Oliveirense?

Leixoes 0-2 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 44%, draw 31%, UD Oliveirense 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leixoes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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