Sporting Braga II 3-3 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 12 Jan 2024

📅12/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 46%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.83/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.66
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +79%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
22.04.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
17.02.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
06.11.2022 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-1 HT 0-1 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
3-3
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II and Felgueiras 1932 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Felgueiras 1932 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 49% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 51%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.75 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Felgueiras 1932?

Sporting Braga II 3-3 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 29%, draw 30%, Felgueiras 1932 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →