Portimonense vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portimonense v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Portimonense vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
1-2
HT 0-1
Portimonense
POR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Farense
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Portimonense
POR2
Portimonense 1-0 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense nicked a narrow win over Farense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Portimonense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Portimonense had 46% of the ball to Farense's 54%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.39 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portimonense and 0.67 for Farense.
What was the final score of Portimonense vs Farense?
Portimonense 1-0 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 42%, draw 26%, Farense 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.