Rayon Sports 1-2 Gasogi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 12 Jan 2024

Rayon Sports
1-2 HT 0-1
Gasogi United
📅12/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Ruanda - National Futbol League – 2023/2024

Rayon Sports vs Gasogi United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Rayon Sports win — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rayon Sports v Gasogi United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayon Sports The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gasogi United The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Rayon Sports vs Gasogi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gasogi United edged past Rayon Sports 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rayon Sports at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Rayon Sports vs Gasogi United?

Rayon Sports 1-2 Gasogi United in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 12/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayon Sports vs Gasogi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayon Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rayon Sports 51%, draw 27%, Gasogi United 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayon Sports), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayon Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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