Ipora 1-3 CRAC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 12 Feb 2024

Ipora
1-3 HT 0-2
CRAC
📅12/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
26%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipora The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CRAC The Market 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.15/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.00
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipora
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CRAC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
16.02.2022 Ipora Ipora 2-0 HT 1-0 CRAC CRAC BRGO1
03.02.2022 CRAC CRAC 5-2 HT 2-1 Ipora Ipora BRGO1
POST-MATCH Ipora vs CRAC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRAC got the better of Ipora 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CRAC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ipora and 2.50 for CRAC.

What was the final score of Ipora vs CRAC?

Ipora 1-3 CRAC in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipora vs CRAC?

Before kick-off our model rated an CRAC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ipora 36%, draw 21%, CRAC 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRAC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRAC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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