Paraguay U23 2-0 Venezuela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.75
Over 2.5
37%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.6pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.0pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezuela U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.45/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.51
+0% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 71%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
20.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay U23
2-0
AWAY Venezuela U23
2.47 xG 0.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
26 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
142 Passes 225
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 5
23 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paraguay U23 vs Venezuela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay U23 beat Venezuela U23 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) promised a tight game; Paraguay U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paraguay U23 had 42% of the ball to Venezuela U23's 58%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 2.47 to 0.28.

What was the final score of Paraguay U23 vs Venezuela U23?

Paraguay U23 2-0 Venezuela U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay U23 vs Venezuela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Paraguay U23 34%, draw 35%, Venezuela U23 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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