Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 12 Feb 2024

Luis Angel Firpo
2-1 HT 1-1
Aguila
📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luis Angel Firpo v Aguila — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.31/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.88
+12% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aguila
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
02.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.04.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
20.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.04.2022 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
20.02.2022 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo edged past Aguila 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Luis Angel Firpo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 0.17 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 28%, draw 31%, Aguila 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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