Platense 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.26/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.99
+0% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
02.10.2023 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense edged past Fuerte San Francisco 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fuerte San Francisco at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Platense and 1.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Platense 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Platense 31%, draw 29%, Fuerte San Francisco 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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