12/02/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Veres Rivne vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
12%
25%
Draw
18%
44%
Away Win
70%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Veres Rivne v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Veres Rivne
EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY
Liepaja
EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
8
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
269 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
440 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Veres Rivne vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Liepaja edged past Veres Rivne 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Veres Rivne vs Liepaja?
Veres Rivne 0-1 Liepaja in the Friendlies on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Veres Rivne vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Veres Rivne 31%, draw 25%, Liepaja 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Liepaja)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
12 Feb 2024