12/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Naft vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
22%
Draw
17%
15%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Najaf
EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
60%
Ball Possession
40%
17
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
394 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Naft vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naft edged past Al Najaf 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naft as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Naft vs Al Najaf?
Naft 2-1 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Najaf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Naft 63%, draw 22%, Al Najaf 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Naft)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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