Grecia 1-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
44%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.2pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.2pp
44%
Away Win
63%
-18.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grecia EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 67%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.10/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.98
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grecia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 2-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
11.09.2023 Grecia Grecia 1-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.04.2023 Grecia Grecia 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
18.02.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 5-0 HT 3-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
02.10.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-3 HT 2-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
04.05.2022 Grecia Grecia 1-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grecia
1-1
AWAY Alajuelense
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 13
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grecia vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grecia and Alajuelense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grecia had 28% of the ball to Alajuelense's 72%, shots finished 6-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grecia and 2.33 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Grecia vs Alajuelense?

Grecia 1-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grecia vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grecia 26%, draw 30%, Alajuelense 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
12 Feb 2024
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