Jalapa 2-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
32%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
43%
+7.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.24/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.05
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.10.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 3-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
21.08.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-1 HT 0-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
20.03.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
30.01.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
11.09.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 2-1 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
18.07.2022 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa nicked a narrow win over Matagalpa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jalapa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jalapa and 0.67 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Matagalpa?

Jalapa 2-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 51%, draw 24%, Matagalpa 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Over 2.5
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