Sport Boys 2-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.68/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+38% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.1 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 2.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
225 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
17.03.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
2.21 xG 0.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
291 Passes 156
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys beat Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sport Boys as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sport Boys had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 39%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.21 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sport Boys and 2.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Sport Boys 2-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 41%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Boys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sport Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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