UTA Arad 2-2 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.47
6+ Goals
10%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -16%
0.96/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.16
-32% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botosani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
234 Passes 287
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Botosani Botosani 2-2 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
14.04.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-2 HT 0-2 Botosani Botosani ROM
11.02.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-1 HT 3-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
09.09.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-2 HT 0-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
18.03.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
11.12.2021 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
2-2
AWAY Botosani
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad and Botosani couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was UTA Arad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, UTA Arad had 52% of the ball to Botosani's 48%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UTA Arad and 1.17 for Botosani.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Botosani?

UTA Arad 2-2 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 45%, draw 28%, Botosani 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UTA Arad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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12 Feb 2024
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