Napredak Krusevac 1-1 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 Feb 2024

Napredak Krusevac
1-1 HT 1-1
Spartak Subotica
📅12/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2023/2024

Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napredak Krusevac v Spartak Subotica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -36%
1.58/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.36
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
21.9 Crosses 21.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.18 xG 1.11
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 329
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 41
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 0-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.04.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
15.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRBK
05.03.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
03.09.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
18.12.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP

Napredak Krusevac 1-1 Spartak Subotica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-1
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.26 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 Passes 239
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac and Spartak Subotica shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 53% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 47%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 0.50 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica?

Napredak Krusevac 1-1 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 32%, draw 29%, Spartak Subotica 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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