UCV 3-0 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 12 Feb 2024

UCV
3-0 HT 1-0
Metropolitanos
📅12/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

UCV vs Metropolitanos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UCV v Metropolitanos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.01/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.34
+23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.9 Crosses 15.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

UCV vs Metropolitanos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
192 Passes 413
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 3-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
05.02.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
15.09.2022 UCV UCV 2-3 HT 2-2 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
04.03.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
16.10.2021 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
30.08.2021 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 1-1 UCV UCV VEN

UCV 3-0 Metropolitanos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
3-0
AWAY Metropolitanos
2.81 xG 1.05
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
200 Passes 280
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
5 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UCV vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV swept aside Metropolitanos 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; UCV found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCV had 42% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 58%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.81 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UCV and 1.67 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of UCV vs Metropolitanos?

UCV 3-0 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split UCV 35%, draw 33%, Metropolitanos 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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