Gosport Borough 1-3 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.74
Over
35%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
45%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
54%
+11.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
46%
-11.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.5pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.46/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.40
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gosport Borough
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gloucester City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.09.2024 Gloucester City Gloucester City 0-2 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough FAK
14.09.2024 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-2 HT 0-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gosport Borough
1-3
AWAY Gloucester City
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gosport Borough vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City saw off Gosport Borough 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Gloucester City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gosport Borough had 56% of the ball to Gloucester City's 44%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gosport Borough and 1.00 for Gloucester City.

What was the final score of Gosport Borough vs Gloucester City?

Gosport Borough 1-3 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gosport Borough vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gosport Borough 38%, draw 30%, Gloucester City 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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