Sepahan 3-2 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
5.62
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Persepolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
16.12.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 1-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
01.05.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
12.11.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
11.03.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 0-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
07.10.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
14.05.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 1-2 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan nicked a narrow win over Persepolis 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Sepahan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sepahan and 0.33 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Persepolis?

Sepahan 3-2 Persepolis in the Iran - Cup on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 39%, draw 31%, Persepolis 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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