Carmelita 2-4 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 12 Feb 2026

Carmelita
2-4 HT 1-3
Deportivo Saprissa
📅12/02/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Costa Rica - Cup – 2025/2026

Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
63%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+7.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.6pp
63%
Away Win
71%
-7.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carmelita v Deportivo Saprissa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmelita EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -1%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmelita
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
The Meetings
06.02.2026 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 6-0 HT 0-0 Carmelita Carmelita KOSTK
09.03.2015 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 3-0 Carmelita Carmelita KOSTA
30.11.2014 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 2-0 Carmelita Carmelita KOSTA
28.09.2014 Carmelita Carmelita 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
05.04.2014 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 0-0 Carmelita Carmelita KOSTA
19.01.2014 Carmelita Carmelita 2-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
POST-MATCH Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa got the better of Carmelita 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carmelita and 2.50 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Carmelita 2-4 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Cup on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmelita vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Carmelita 18%, draw 18%, Deportivo Saprissa 63%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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