Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 Mar 2024

Birmingham
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Middlesbrough
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.92
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.54
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.38
6+
6%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.07
1/2
3%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.99
X/2
14%
5.16
X/X
16%
4.81
2/1
3%
29.5
2/2
23%
3.3
2/X
5%
13.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Birmingham v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Birmingham The Market 38%
Signal
AWAY Middlesbrough The Market 43%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.22 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.61
1.19 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
242 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
222 Passes 267
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
02.01.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 1-3 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
05.10.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
15.03.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
30.10.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-2 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
16.01.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL

Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
0 - 1
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.36 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
319 Passes 286
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Birmingham vs Middlesbrough
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Middlesbrough shaded a tight game against Birmingham 1-0 on the road.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Middlesbrough found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Birmingham had 53% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 47%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.36 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Birmingham and 1.17 for Middlesbrough.

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Result & Final Score

Birmingham 0 - 1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 33%, draw 27%, Middlesbrough 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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