Union La Calera 0-2 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -11%
1.29/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.56
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Cobreloa
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
247 Passes 239
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
08.02.2015 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
24.08.2014 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
23.03.2014 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
27.10.2013 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
0-2
AWAY Cobreloa
1.20 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
254 Passes 197
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobreloa saw off Union La Calera 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union La Calera at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 55% of the ball to Cobreloa's 45%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.20 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cobreloa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Union La Calera and 0.75 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Cobreloa?

Union La Calera 0-2 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 48%, draw 26%, Cobreloa 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union La Calera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✓ Under 2.5
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