Atletico Atlanta 1-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.7
Away
42%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.33
Over 2.5
27%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
33%
-5.4pp
42%
Away Win
28%
+13.8pp
73%
Under 2.5
72%
+0.8pp
27%
Over 2.5
28%
-0.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.5pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.22/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
+1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +115%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Atlanta
1-1
AWAY Gimnasia Y Tiro
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta and Gimnasia Y Tiro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Y Tiro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Atlanta had 51% of the ball to Gimnasia Y Tiro's 49%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Atletico Atlanta 1-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 30%, draw 28%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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