Rouen 1-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Mar 2024

Rouen
1-0 HT 1-0
Villefranche
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Rouen vs Villefranche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.86
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.8
X/1
6%
4.13
X/2
13%
7.2
X/X
17%
3.98
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
6.06
2/X
6%
15.4
Value flag · 1/X at 14.8 — our 10% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rouen v Villefranche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.13/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-22% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Rouen vs Villefranche Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Villefranche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3

Rouen 1-0 Villefranche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
1-0
AWAY Villefranche
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen squeezed past Villefranche 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Rouen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rouen had 54% of the ball to Villefranche's 46%, shots finished 5-14.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Villefranche?

Rouen 1-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rouen 37%, draw 33%, Villefranche 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rouen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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