Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 12 Mar 2024

Mamelodi Sundowns
1-1 HT 1-1
SuperSport United
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mamelodi Sundowns v SuperSport United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.71/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.98
+32% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.4 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0

Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-1D-1L
AWAY SuperSport United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.94 xG 0.84
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
470 Passes 167
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.11.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-2 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
16.01.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
02.09.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-1 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
28.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAF8K
11.12.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
24.11.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-2 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL

Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 SuperSport United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
1-1
AWAY SuperSport United
0.88 xG 0.64
78% Ball Possession 22%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
587 Passes 98
88% Pass Accuracy 56%
24 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns and SuperSport United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 78% of the ball to SuperSport United's 22%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.67 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United?

Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 52%, draw 27%, SuperSport United 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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