Al Qadsia 4-2 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.46/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.15
-26% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
26.11.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
14.05.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
07.04.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
27.03.2023 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUVFK
19.02.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qadsia saw off Al Salmiyah 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Qadsia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Qadsia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Qadsia and 0.83 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah?

Al Qadsia 4-2 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 49%, draw 30%, Al Salmiyah 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qadsia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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