Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 23%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
1.93/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+12% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
439 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-1
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris squeezed past TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 45% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 55%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 50%, draw 23%, TransINVEST Vilnius 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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