Piast Gliwice 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
02.12.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
16.01.2014 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-4 HT 1-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice squeezed past Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Piast Gliwice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 53% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 47%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.50 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Piast Gliwice 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 38%, draw 27%, Puszcza Niepolomice 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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