CSKA Moskova 2-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 12 Mar 2024

CSKA Moskova
2-0 HT 0-0
Rostov
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2023/2024

CSKA Moskova vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
21%
4.12
X/2
12%
8.79
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
9%
6.64
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Moskova v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.89/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.28
+1% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

CSKA Moskova vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rostov
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.95 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 324
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.12.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
24.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-3 HT 2-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
03.06.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-1 HT 4-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
28.08.2022 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.05.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-0 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS

CSKA Moskova 2-0 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
2-0
AWAY Rostov
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova beat Rostov 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 45% of the ball to Rostov's 55%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Rostov.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Rostov?

CSKA Moskova 2-0 Rostov in the Russia - Cup on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 50%, draw 24%, Rostov 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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