Khimki 2-0 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
39%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.4pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.3pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-13.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.87 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 372
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-6 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
27.11.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 4-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUK
18.09.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
31.08.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-2 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
27.11.2021 Khimki Khimki 3-3 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
01.08.2021 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
2-0
AWAY Krasnodar
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki saw off Krasnodar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Khimki made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Khimki had 33% of the ball to Krasnodar's 67%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Khimki and 3.00 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Krasnodar?

Khimki 2-0 Krasnodar in the Russia - Super Cup on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Khimki 28%, draw 33%, Krasnodar 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Krasnodar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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