12/03/2024
·
23:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-0
Cosmos vs Pennarossa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over Pick
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
56%
Home Win
72%
22%
Draw
17%
22%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cosmos v Pennarossa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cosmos
The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pennarossa
The Market 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-28% /
-28%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-68%
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
415 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
268 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Cosmos vs Pennarossa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cosmos cruised past Pennarossa 6-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cosmos as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Cosmos 6-2 Pennarossa in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cosmos win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cosmos 56%, draw 22%, Pennarossa 22%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cosmos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Cosmos)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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