Meuselwitz 2-1 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.46/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.70
+8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +86%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.08.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-0 HT 2-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
10.12.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-2 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
22.02.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-2 HT 3-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meuselwitz edged past Greifswalder SV 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Meuselwitz and 2.67 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Greifswalder SV?

Meuselwitz 2-1 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 33%, draw 22%, Greifswalder SV 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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