Telstar (K) 4-5 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
60%
Away Win
69%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.93/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
+39% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -63%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
214 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AZ (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
195 Passes 456
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 21
01.02.2025 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) 2-4 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1
03.11.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar (K)
4-5
AWAY AZ (K)
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 13
7 Corners 3
182 Passes 334
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Telstar (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) squeezed past Telstar (K) 5-4 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AZ (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Telstar (K) had 41% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 59%, shots finished 12-23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Telstar (K) and 2.00 for AZ (K).

What was the final score of Telstar (K) vs AZ (K)?

Telstar (K) 4-5 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Telstar (K) 17%, draw 22%, AZ (K) 60%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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