Super Nova 4-0 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
Crosses 19.2
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.79 xG 2.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 350
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
21.07.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-3 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
23.05.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 4-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
11.04.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-3 HT 0-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
12.11.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
28.05.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
4-0
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.80 xG 0.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
403 Passes 248
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova ran out comfortable winners over Metta / LU Riga 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Super Nova made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Super Nova had 59% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 41%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Super Nova and 2.00 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Metta / LU Riga?

Super Nova 4-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metta / LU Riga win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 34%, draw 31%, Metta / LU Riga 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Metta / LU Riga), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metta / LU Riga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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