San Diego vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Diego v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
San Diego 3-2 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
San Diego nicked a narrow win over Toluca 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; San Diego found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, San Diego had 34% of the ball to Toluca's 66%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.32 to 3.25 — on chances, Toluca could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of San Diego vs Toluca?
San Diego 3-2 Toluca in the CONCACAF Champions League on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Diego vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Diego 38%, draw 29%, Toluca 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.