Shooting Stars 2-1 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 12 Mar 2026

📅12/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.1pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
0.98/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.11
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
374 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rivers United
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Rivers United Rivers United 1-0 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
03.03.2025 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
17.10.2024 Rivers United Rivers United 2-0 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
09.06.2024 Rivers United Rivers United 1-0 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
10.02.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
06.03.2022 Rivers United Rivers United 2-0 HT 2-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shooting Stars
2-1
AWAY Rivers United
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars edged past Rivers United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shooting Stars had 46% of the ball to Rivers United's 54%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rivers United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Shooting Stars and 1.00 for Rivers United.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Rivers United?

Shooting Stars 2-1 Rivers United in the Nigeria NPFL on 12/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 49%, draw 31%, Rivers United 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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