Lunds BK 1-2 Eskilsminne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Eskilsminne EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.73/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Eskilsminne
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
05.11.2023 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 4-3 HT 2-2 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
12.05.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 3-2 HT 1-0 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ3
19.09.2020 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 1-1 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
01.07.2020 Lunds BK Lunds BK 3-1 HT 1-1 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
1-2
AWAY Eskilsminne
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs Eskilsminne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eskilsminne squeezed past Lunds BK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Eskilsminne found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lunds BK had 59% of the ball to Eskilsminne's 41%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lunds BK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lunds BK and 2.00 for Eskilsminne.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs Eskilsminne?

Lunds BK 1-2 Eskilsminne in the Sweden - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs Eskilsminne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 35%, draw 30%, Eskilsminne 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5
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