Arzignano Valchiampo 3-0 Fiorenzuola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
0.94/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.19
-36% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fiorenzuola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.12.2023 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
3-0
AWAY Fiorenzuola
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Fiorenzuola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo ran out comfortable winners over Fiorenzuola 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arzignano Valchiampo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 57% of the ball to Fiorenzuola's 43%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Fiorenzuola?

Arzignano Valchiampo 3-0 Fiorenzuola in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Fiorenzuola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 50%, draw 27%, Fiorenzuola 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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