Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2024

Werder Bremen (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
RB Leipzig (K)
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Werder Bremen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
43%
+7.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Werder Bremen (K) v RB Leipzig (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 RB Leipzig (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
1-1
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.72 xG 0.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
374 Passes 216
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 4
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) and RB Leipzig (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 58% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 42%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.72 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 50%, draw 27%, RB Leipzig (K) 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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