KRC Genk II 1-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.78 — our 24% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.82/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.09
-6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.5 Crosses 14.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.19 xG 1.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
384 Passes 227
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-5 HT 0-2 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
1-1
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.83 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
331 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II and Boussu Dour Borinage shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was KRC Genk II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 52% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 48%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.83 to 1.00.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

KRC Genk II 1-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 45%, draw 26%, Boussu Dour Borinage 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KRC Genk II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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