Santa Cruz 2-3 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-11.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.00/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.13
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
234 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
14.4 Crosses 11.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
0W-2D-4L
AWAY The Strongest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.54 xG 1.93
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
170 Passes 342
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 3-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
14.08.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 4-0 HT 3-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
11.03.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 1-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
20.10.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 5-2 HT 2-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
30.04.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
26.02.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-2 HT 0-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
2-3
AWAY The Strongest
0.52 xG 1.26
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
192 Passes 416
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest edged past Santa Cruz 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 36% of the ball to The Strongest's 64%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.52 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Cruz and 2.67 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs The Strongest?

Santa Cruz 2-3 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated an The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 30%, draw 24%, The Strongest 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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