Tuzla City 3-1 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No Pick
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuzla City The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg The Market 22%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.85/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.53
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuzla City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2023 Tuzla City Tuzla City 2-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
13.08.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 1-0 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
19.03.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-1 HT 0-1 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
19.02.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-2 HT 2-1 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSK
19.11.2022 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Tuzla City Tuzla City BOSN
31.08.2022 Tuzla City Tuzla City 4-1 HT 3-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
POST-MATCH Tuzla City vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuzla City beat Siroki Brijeg 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tuzla City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tuzla City and 1.00 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of Tuzla City vs Siroki Brijeg?

Tuzla City 3-1 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuzla City vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuzla City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tuzla City 50%, draw 22%, Siroki Brijeg 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tuzla City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tuzla City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
12 Apr 2024
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