CSKA Sofia 1-2 OFK Pirin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

CSKA Sofia
1-2 HT 1-1
OFK Pirin
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

CSKA Sofia vs OFK Pirin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
78%
-11.5pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.0pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Sofia v OFK Pirin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.02/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.95
-10% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
474 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

CSKA Sofia vs OFK Pirin Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY OFK Pirin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 1-2 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
23.04.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
10.10.2014 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia HAZ

CSKA Sofia 1-2 OFK Pirin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-2
AWAY OFK Pirin
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs OFK Pirin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Pirin nicked a narrow win over CSKA Sofia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA Sofia at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 63% of the ball to OFK Pirin's 37%, shots finished 25-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.67 for OFK Pirin.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs OFK Pirin?

CSKA Sofia 1-2 OFK Pirin in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs OFK Pirin?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 67%, draw 20%, OFK Pirin 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5
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