Belouizdad 3-3 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.67
No
54%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
33%
+12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
67%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 15%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.11/0.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.95
+36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belouizdad
3-3
AWAY Mostaganem
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belouizdad and Mostaganem shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Belouizdad at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Belouizdad had 50% of the ball to Mostaganem's 50%, shots finished 22-9.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs Mostaganem?

Belouizdad 3-3 Mostaganem in the Algeria - National Cup on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 52%, draw 25%, Mostaganem 23%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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