Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 12 Apr 2024

Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 HT 0-0
Urawa Red Diamonds
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.42
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.86
X/2
15%
4.98
X/X
10%
3.98
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.52
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kashiwa Reysol v Urawa Red Diamonds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.22/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.12
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
351 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.0 Crosses 16.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.82 xG 1.76
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
280 Passes 481
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
31.03.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-3 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.09.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
08.05.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
22.10.2021 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 5-1 HT 4-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
23.06.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP

Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-0
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.20 xG 0.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
276 Passes 489
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol nicked a narrow win over Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Kashiwa Reysol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 39% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 61%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.20 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 2.67 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 34%, draw 27%, Urawa Red Diamonds 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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