Riga FC 2-0 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
2.77/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.95
+15% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
47.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
29.6 Crosses 12.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
3.01 xG 0.69
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
408 Passes 111
81% Pass Accuracy 52%
57 Box Touches 12
43 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
30.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
08.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.04.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 1-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
16.10.2022 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
15.08.2022 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-4 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC saw off BFC Daugavpils 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Riga FC had 61% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 39%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Riga FC and 0.17 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils?

Riga FC 2-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 62%, draw 21%, BFC Daugavpils 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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