Sport Huancayo 1-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.1pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.34/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.36
+6% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.1 Crosses 19.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cienciano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 248
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
18.02.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-3 HT 0-2 Cienciano Cienciano PER
05.10.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 0-1 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
16.05.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 3-3 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
15.08.2021 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
29.09.2020 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
1-2
AWAY Cienciano
0.71 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
224 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano edged past Sport Huancayo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Huancayo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 44% of the ball to Cienciano's 56%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.71 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.17 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Cienciano?

Sport Huancayo 1-2 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 46%, draw 25%, Cienciano 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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