Motor Lublin 2-2 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.41/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.14
+20% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
2-2
AWAY Arka Gdynia
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin and Arka Gdynia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 52% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 48%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia?

Motor Lublin 2-2 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 36%, draw 27%, Arka Gdynia 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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